Automated reasoning at Amazon: A conversation

To mark the occasion of the eighth Federated Logic Conference (FloC), Amazon’s Byron Cook, Daniel Kröning, and Marijn Heule discussed automated reasoning’s prospects.

The Federated Logic Conference (FLoC) is a superconference that, like the Olympics, happens every four years. FLoC draws together 12 distinct conferences on logic-related topics, most of which meet annually. The individual conferences have their own invited speakers, but FLoC as a whole has several plenary speakers as well.

At the last FLoC, in 2018, one of those plenary speakers was Byron Cook, who leads Amazon’s automated-reasoning group, and he was introduced by Daniel Kröning, then a professor of computer science at the University of Oxford

Byron Cook's keynote at FLoC 2018
With introduction by Daniel Kröning.

“What makes me so proud that Byron is here,” Kröning said, is “he’s now at Amazon, and he’s going to run the next Bell Labs, he’s going to run the next Microsoft Research, from within Amazon. My prediction is that — not 10 years but 16 years; remember, it’s multiples of four — 16 years from now you’ll be at a FLoC, and you’ll hear these stories about the great thing that Byron Cook built up at Amazon Web Services. And we’ll speak about it in the same tone as we’re now talking about Bell Labs and Microsoft Research.”

In the audience at the talk was Marijn Heule, a highly cited automated-reasoning researcher who was then at the University of Texas.

“I hadn't met Marijn, though I had heard about him from a couple other people and thought I should talk to him,” Cook says. “And then Marijn found me at the banquet after the talk and was like, ‘I want a job.’”

AR scientists.png
L to R: Amazon vice president and distinguished scientist Byron Cook; Amazon Scholar Marijn Heule; Amazon senior principal scientist Daniel Kröning.

Heule is now an Amazon Scholar who divides his time between Amazon and his new appointment at Carnegie Mellon University. Kröning, too, has joined Amazon as a senior principal scientist, working closely with Cook’s group.

As 2022’s FLoC approached, Cook, Kröning, and Heule took some time to talk with Amazon Science about the current state of automated-reasoning research and its implications for Amazon customers.

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Amazon Science: The conference name has the word “logic” in it. Does FLoC deal with other aspects of logic, or is logic coextensive with automated reasoning now?

Byron Cook: It’s about the intersection of logic and computer science. Automated reasoning is one dimension of that intersection.

Daniel Kröning: Traditionally, FLoC is split into two halves, with the first half more theoretical and the second half more applied.

Cook: One of the things about automated reasoning is you're on the bleeding edge of what is even computable. We're often working on intractable or undecidable problems. So people automating reasoning are really paying attention to both the applied and the theoretical.

AS: I know Marijn is concentrating on SAT solvers, and SAT is an intractable problem, right? It’s NP-complete?

Marijn Heule: Yes, but you can also use these techniques to solve problems that go beyond NP. For example, solvers for SAT modulo theories, called SMT. I even have a project with one student trying to solve the famous Collatz conjecture with these tools.

Collatz-27.png
The Collatz conjecture posits that any integer will be transformed into the integer 1 through iterative application of two operations: n/2 and 3n+1. This figure shows a "Collatz cascade" of possible transitions from 27 to 1 using a set of seven symbols, which can be interpreted as simple calculations, and 11 rules for transforming those symbols into symbols consistent with the Collatz operations. At top right are the symbol rewrite rules; at bottom left is a blowup of part of the cascade, illustrating sequences of rewrites that yield the number 425 and its transformation through Collatz operations.

Kröning: SAT is now the inexpensive, easy-to-solve workhorse for really hard problems. People still have it in their heads that SAT equals NP hard, therefore difficult to solve or impossible to solve. But for us, it's the lowest entry point. On top of SAT, we build algorithms for solving problems that are way harder.

Cook: One of the tricks of the trade is abstraction, where you take a problem that's much, much bigger but represent it with something smaller, where classes of questions you might ask about the smaller problem imply that the answer also holds for the bigger problem. We also have techniques for refining the abstractions on demand when the abstraction is losing too much information to answer the question. Often we can represent these abstractions in tools for SAT.

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Marijn’s work on the Collatz conjecture is a great example of this. He has done this amazing reduction of Collatz to a series of SAT questions, and he's tantalizingly close to solving it because he's got one decidable problem to go — and he's the world expert on solving those problems. [Laughs]

Heule: Tantalizingly close but also so far away, right? Because this problem might not be solvable even with a million cores.

Cook: But it's still decidable. And one of the thresholds is that NP, PSpace, all these things, they're actually decidable. There are questions that are undecidable — and we work on those, too. When a problem is undecidable, it means that your tool will sometimes fail to find an answer, and that's just fundamental: there are no extra computers you could use ever to solve that. The halting problem is a great example of that.

Heule: For these kinds of problems, you're asking the question “Is there a termination argument of this kind of shape?” And if there is one, you have your termination argument. If there is no termination argument of that shape, there could be one of another shape. So if the answer is SAT [satisfiable], then you're happy because you’ve solved the problem. If the answer is no, you try something else.

Cook: It's really, really exciting. In Amazon, we're building these increasingly powerful SAT solvers, using the power of the cloud and distributed systems. So there's no better place for Marijn to be than at Amazon.

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AS: Daniel, could we talk a little bit about your research?

Kröning: What I'm looking at right now is reasoning about the cloud infrastructure that performs remote management of EC2 instances — how to secure that in a way that is provable. You also want to do that in a way that is economical.

Cook: One of the things that Daniel's focusing on is agents. We have pieces of software that run on other machines, like EC2 instances, agents for telemetry or for control, and you give them power to take action on your behalf on your machine. But you want to make sure that an adversary doesn't trick those agents into doing bad things.

Correct software

AS: I know that, commercially, formal methods have been used in hardware design and transportation systems for some time. But it seems that they’re really starting to make inroads in software development, too.

The storage team is able to write code that otherwise they might not want to deploy because they wouldn't be as confident about it, and they're deploying four times as fast. It was an investment in agility that's really paid off.
Byron Cook

Cook: The thing we've seen is it's really by need. The storage team, for example, is able to be much more agile and be much more aggressive in the programs that they write because of the formal methods. They're able to write code that otherwise they might not want to deploy because they wouldn't be as confident about it, and they're deploying four times as fast. It was an investment in agility that's really paid off.

Kröning: There are actually a good number of stories wherein engineering teams didn't dare to roll out a particular feature or design revision or design variant that offers clear benefits — like being faster, using less power — because they just couldn't gain the confidence that it's actually right under all circumstances.

Heule: The interesting thing is that you even see this now in tools. Now we have produced proofs from the tools, and people start implementing features that they wouldn't dare have in the past because they were not clear that they were correct. So the solvers get faster and more complex because we now can check the results from the tools and to have confidence in their correctness.

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Cook: Yeah, I wanted to double down on that point. There’s a distinction in automated reasoning between finding a proof and checking your proof, and the checking is actually relatively easy. It's an accounting thing. Whereas finding the proof is an incredibly creative activity, and the algorithms that find proofs are mind-blowing. But how do you know that the tool that found the proof is correct? Well, you produce an auditable artifact that you can check with the easy tool.

SAT in the cloud

AS: What are you all most excited about at this year’s FLoC?

Cook: The SAT conference is at FLoC, and there will be the SAT competition results, and one of the things I'm really excited about is the cloud track. Automated reasoning has really moved into the cloud, and the past couple years running the cloud track has really blown the doors off what's possible. I'm expecting that that will be true again this year.

SAT results.png
The results of the top-performing cloud-based, parallel, and sequential SAT solvers in this year's SAT competition, whose results were presented at FLoC. The curves show the number of problems (y-axis) in the SAT competition's anniversary problem set — which aggregates all 5,355 problems presented in the competition's 20-year history — that a given solver could solve in the allotted time (x-axis).

Heule: This is the first year that Amazon is running both the parallel track and the cloud track, and the cloud track was only possible because of Amazon. Before that, there was no way we had the resources to run a cloud track. In the cloud track, every solver-benchmark combination is run on 1,600 cores. And this year is extra special because it's 20 years of SAT, and we have a single anniversary track and all the competitions that were run in the past are in there. That is 5,355 problems, and all the solvers are running on this.

Cook: Wow.

Heule: I'm also excited to see the results. We have seen in the last year and the year before that the cloud solver can, say, solve in 100 seconds as much as the sequential solvers can do in 5,000 seconds. The user doesn't have to wait for four hours but just for four minutes

Cook: And that raises all boats because, as we mentioned earlier, everything is reduced to SAT. If the SAT solvers go from one hour to one minute, that's really game changing. That means a whole other set of things you can do.

What has been clear for a while but continues to be true is there's some sort of Moore's-law thing happening with SAT. You fix the same hardware, the same benchmarks, and then run all the tools from the past 20 years, and you see every year they're getting dramatically better. What's also really amazing is that in many ways the tools are getting simpler.

LH: Are the simplicity and efficiency two sides of the same coin? Understanding the problems better helps you find a simpler solution, which is more efficient?

Cook: Yeah, but it’s also the point that Marijn made that because the tools produce auditable proofs that you can check independently, you can do aggressive things that we were scared to do before. Often, aggressive is much simpler.

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Heule: It's also the case that we now understand there are different kinds of problems, and they need different kinds of heuristics. Solvers are combining different heuristics and have phases: “Let's first try this. Let's also try that.” And the code involved in changing the heuristics is very small. It's just changing a couple of parameters. But if you notice, okay, this set of heuristics works well for this problem, then you kind of focus more on that.

Cook: One of the things a SAT solver does is make decisions fast. It just makes a bunch of choices, and those choices won't work out, and then it spends some time to learn lessons why. And then it has a very efficient internal database for managing what has been learned, what not to do in the future. And that prunes the search space a lot.

One of the really exciting things that's happening in the cloud is that you have, say, 1,000 SAT solvers all running on the same problem, and they're learning different things and can share that information amongst them. So by adding 5,000 more solvers, if you can make the communication and the lookup efficient between them, you're really off to the races.

The other thing that's quite neat about that is the point that Marijn is making: it's becoming increasingly clear that there are these fundamental building blocks, and for different kinds of problems, you would want to use one kind of Lego brick versus a different kind of Lego brick. And the cloud allows you to run them all but then to share the information between them.

Iterated SAT solver.png
In "Migrating solver state", Heule and his colleagues show that passing modified versions of a problem between different solvers can accelerate convergence on a solution.

Heule: We have an Amazon paper at FLoC with some very cool ideas. If you run things in the cloud, you sometimes have a limited time window where you have to solve them, and otherwise it stops. You started with a certain problem, the solver did some modifications, and now we have a different problem. Initially we just tested, Okay, can we stop the solver and then store the modified problem somewhere and continue later, in case we need more time than we allocated initially? And then we can continue solving it.

But the interesting thing is that if you give the modified problem to another solver, and you give it, say, a couple of minutes, and then it stores the modified problem, and you give it to another solver, it actually really speeds things up. It turns out to solve the most instances from everything that we tried.

AS: Do you do that in a principled way, or do you just pick a new solver randomly?

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Heule: The thing that turned out to work really well is to take two top-tier solvers and just Ping-Pong the problem among them. This functionality of storing and continuing search requires some work, so that implementing it in, say, a dozen solvers would require quite some work. But it would be a very interesting experiment.

AS: I’m sure our readers would love to know the result of that experiment!

Well, thank you all very much for your time. Does anyone have any last thoughts?

Cook: I think I speak for the thousands of others who are attending FLoC: we are ready to having our minds blown, just as we did in 2018. Many of the tools and theories presented by our scientific colleagues at this year’s FLoC will challenge our current assumptions or spark that next big insight in our brains. We will also get to catch up with old friends that we’ve known for around 20 years and meet new ones. I’m particularly excited to meet the new generation of scientists who have entered the field, to see the world afresh through their eyes. This is such an amazing time to be in the field of automated reasoning.

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Amazon Web Services (AWS) provides a highly reliable, scalable, low-cost infrastructure platform in the cloud that powers hundreds of thousands of businesses in 190 countries around the world. We are hiring an Applied Scientist in our AWS Sales Science & Economics team. The team uses machine learning, econometrics, and data science to optimize AWS’s service catalogue, driving customer engagement and generating insights to guide AWS sales strategy. We use detailed customer behavioral and usage data to predict and understand what customers want from AWS. Key job responsibilities As an Applied Scientist, you will apply the latest research, state of the art machine learning and GenAI to build highly scalable models in support of predictive research and products used across AWS Sales and leadership. You will be responsible for designing and executing science experiments in short and agile cycles. You will use the latest AWS technologies in Machine Learning, Data Science, and AI. You will work closely with business leaders to identify opportunities to drive business growth by applying machine learning and building out predictive models to support analytics and insights. The ideal candidate will be curious and able to learn new technologies quickly. You will have hands-on experience building data science and machine learning pipelines in production working with large scale data sets. You are passionate about sharing your knowledge to enable others. You empathize with the needs of our customers and align your work accordingly, and provide thought leadership and guidance across the organization. A day in the life You will start your day reviewing experimental results and refining model architectures based on new insights. You might spend the morning prototyping a novel approach to a customer-facing problem, then shift to a design review with engineering partners in the afternoon to align on how your solution integrates into production systems. Along the way, you will mentor junior scientists, contribute to peer reviews, and stay connected to the latest research through reading groups and internal science discussions. Your contributions will move from research notebooks to live systems that customers interact with every day. About the team Our team is focused on applying advanced science and machine learning to build intelligent systems that improve the Amazon experience. We value collaboration, intellectual rigor, and a willingness to explore new ideas. You will work alongside scientists and engineers who are committed to turning ambitious research into practical, high-impact solutions. We are investing in the next generation of machine learning capabilities and are looking for team members who are excited to help define that future.
US, CA, San Francisco
The Central Science Team within Amazon’s People Experience and Technology org (PXTCS) uses economics, behavioral science, statistics, and machine learning to proactively identify mechanisms and process improvements which simultaneously improve Amazon and the lives, well-being, and the value of work to Amazonians. We are an interdisciplinary team, which combines the talents of science and engineering to develop and deliver solutions that measurably achieve this goal. We are looking for an Applied Scientist to build production machine learning solutions that improve employee experiences and inform workforce decisions. You will work on problems spanning predictive modeling, natural language processing, recommendation systems, personalization, generative AI, and causal evaluation. These solutions will predict workforce outcomes, identify individual and organizational needs, recommend targeted actions, and measure the causal impact of programs, products, and policies across diverse employee populations and business contexts. As an Applied Scientist, you will develop models and algorithms from prototype through production. You will collaborate with other scientists and economists to combine machine learning with causal inference and experimentation, allowing teams to understand both what is likely to happen and which actions will improve outcomes. You will also work with product managers, engineers, and business partners to translate business needs into technical solutions and communicate methods and results to technical and nontechnical audiences. Key job responsibilities • Design, develop, and deploy machine learning solutions in production environments. • Develop solutions using techniques that include predictive modeling, deep learning, natural language processing, recommendation systems, personalization, and generative AI. • Build models that predict workforce outcomes, identify employee and organizational needs, and recommend targeted actions. • Partner with economists and other scientists to design causal evaluations and experimental frameworks that measure the impact of programs, products, and policies. • Combine predictive models with causal estimates to help business partners identify effective actions and make evidence-based decisions. • Collaborate with product managers, engineers, and business partners to translate business requirements into modeling approaches and contribute to technical design and roadmap decisions. • Evaluate model accuracy, performance, calibration, and limitations, and identify opportunities for improvement. • Communicate technical concepts, methods, results, and recommendations to technical peers and business partners. A day in the life • Analyze data to investigate model performance or understand an unexpected result from a causal evaluation. • Brainstorm modeling and evaluation approaches with applied scientists and economists on the team. • Develop and test model features, recommendation methods, or generative AI applications. • Design or analyze experiments and observational studies to estimate the causal impact of programs, products, or policies. • Run simulations, offline evaluations, or backtests to assess model performance. • Meet with product, engineering, and business partners to review requirements, data, designs, and implementation decisions. • Review code changes or technical design documents from scientists and engineers. • Write and present documents covering methods, results, limitations, and recommendations. About the team The People eXperience and Technology Central Science Team (PXTCS) uses economics, behavioral science, statistics, and machine learning to proactively identify mechanisms and process improvements which simultaneously improve Amazon and the lives, wellbeing, and the value of work to Amazonians. We are an interdisciplinary team that combines the talents of science and engineering to develop and deliver solutions that measurably achieve this goal.
US, WA, Seattle
Are you excited to play a strategic role in defining the customer experience on Tablets? Come join a dynamic, customer-obsessed, world-class science team to completely reshape the customer experience on our tablets. Key job responsibilities Using Amazon’s large-scale computing resources, you will design and deploy state-of-the-art recommendation models. You will ask research questions about customer behavior, design state-of-the-art models that help customers discover content, and deploy these models to production alongside other engineers. You will participate in the Amazon ML community and mentor other engineers with a strong interest in and knowledge of ML and generative AI. Your work will directly benefit customers! A day in the life We are looking for a passionate, hard-working, and talented Applied Scientist who has experience developing state-of-the-art models and deploying them to production. You will have an opportunity to make an enormous impact on the design, architecture, and implementation of products used everyday by real customers! About the team The Alexa Tablet team is a world-class team that delivers high-quality, innovative products that are loved by our customers. Our team focuses on spinning many of Amazon’s flywheels with bar-raising mobile experiences on our tablets. Over the last 12 years, we have built 4.0+ star rated products, and we continue to look for ways to scale our business. Join us as we continue our ambitious journey which will give you the opportunity to deliver disruptive products with global impact.
IN, KA, Bengaluru
Amazon.com’s Product Detail Page team is looking for talented, motivated and passionate applied scientist to be part of the design and development of a highly scalable multi-tiered shopping application to provide the best possible online shopping experience for Amazon customers world-wide. Our team is comprised of talented applied scientists, developers, testers, program managers, designers and product managers tasked with the singular goal to create THE world's best buying experience. Scientists on this team develop the next-generation technologies and experiences that change how millions interact and shop online. To provide the best possible online shopping at the scale of the web requires ideas from every area of computer science, including distributed computing, large-scale system design, machine learning, natural language processing, data compression and user interface design; the list goes on and is growing every day. We need our scientists to be versatile and always eager to tackle new problems as we continue to push technology forward. Our team leverages sophisticated econometric, machine learning, and big data technologies to help customers to discover the right products at the right prices from millions of trusted sellers billions of times a day. If you are looking for a career-defining opportunity on one of the most customer centric and business impacting teams within Amazon, we’d love to hear from you. We are looking for an Applied Scientist to help build the next generation of Detail Page optimization algorithms. These new set of algorithms will incorporate the continually changing preferences of our customers and continue to scale with numerous new programs that Amazon is introducing for our customers. You will work with multiple Amazon businesses and programs to identify big business opportunities and propose new business features and technical systems to improve customer experience on Amazon Detail Page, Search Page and many other widgets throughout the website. You will be responsible for the quality of algorithm design and will get the opportunity to present your ideas and share results of your deliverables with Amazon executives on a frequent basis. You will get an opportunity to work with senior scientists to define and enforce broad, company-wide technical standards in optimization techniques, statistical modeling and simulation techniques, and/or data analytics.