Latency from post-quantum cryptography shrinks as data increases

Using time to last byte — rather than time to first byte — to assess the effects of data-heavy TLS 1.3 on real-world connections yields more encouraging results.

The risk that a quantum computer might break cryptographic standards widely used today has ignited numerous efforts to standardize quantum-resistant algorithms and introduce them into transport encryption protocols like TLS 1.3. The choice of post-quantum algorithm will naturally affect TLS 1.3’s performance. So far, studies of those effects have focused on the “handshake time” required for two parties to establish a quantum-resistant encrypted connection, known as the time to first byte.

Although these studies have been important in quantifying increases in handshake time, they do not provide a full picture of the effect of post-quantum cryptography on real-world TLS 1.3 connections, which often carry sizable amounts of data. At the 2024 Workshop on Measurements, Attacks, and Defenses for the Web (MADweb), we presented a paper advocating time to last byte (TTLB) as a metric for assessing the total impact of data-heavy, quantum-resistant algorithms such as ML-KEM and ML-DSA on real-world TLS 1.3 connections. Our paper shows that the new algorithms will have a much lower net effect on connections that transfer sizable amounts of data than they do on the TLS 1.3 handshake itself.

Post-quantum cryptography

TLS 1.3, the latest version of the transport layer security protocol, is used to negotiate and establish secure channels that encrypt and authenticate data passing between a client and a server. TLS 1.3 is used in numerous Web applications, including e-banking and streaming media.

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Asymmetric cryptographic algorithms, such as the one used in TLS 1.3, depend for their security on the difficulty of the discrete-logarithm or integer factorization problems, which a cryptanalytically relevant quantum computer could solve efficiently. The US National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) has been working on standardizing quantum-resistant algorithms and has selected ML-Key Encapsulation Mechanism (KEM) for key exchange. NIST has also selected ML-DSA for signatures, or cryptographic authentication.

As these algorithms have kilobyte-size public keys, ciphertexts, and signatures — versus the 50- to 400-byte sizes of the existing algorithms — they would inflate the amount of data exchanged in a TLS handshake. A number of works have compared handshake time using traditional TLS 1.3 key exchange and authentication to that using post-quantum (PQ) key exchange and authentication.

These comparisons were useful to quantify the overhead that each new algorithm introduces to the time to first byte, or completion of the handshake protocol. But they ignored the data transfer time over the secure connection that, together with the handshake time, constitutes the total delay before the application can start processing data. The total time from the start of the connection to the end of data transfer is, by contrast, the time to last byte (TTLB). How much TTLB slowdown is acceptable depends highly on the application.

Experiments

We designed our experiments to simulate various network conditions and measured the TTLB of classical and post-quantum algorithms in TLS 1.3 connections where the client makes a small request and the server responds with hundreds of kilobytes (KB) of data. We used Linux namespaces in a Ubuntu 22.04 virtual-machine instance. The namespaces were interconnected using virtual ethernet interfaces. To emulate the “network” between the namespaces, we used the Linux kernel’s netem utility, which can introduce variable network delays, bandwidth fluctuations, and packet loss between the client and server.

A standard AWS EC2 instance icon (which looks like a stylized integrated circuit) in which a netem emulation is running, with an emulated cloud server (represented by cloud icon) passing data back and forth with a server namespace (represented by a server-stack icon) and a client namespace (represented by a desktop-computer icon).
The experimental setup, with client and server Linux namespaces and netem-emulated network conditions.

Our experiments had several configurable parameters that allowed us to compare the effect of the PQ algorithm on TTLB under stable, unstable, fast, and slow network conditions:

  • TLS key exchange mechanism (classical ECDH or ECDH+ML-KEM post-quantum hybrid)
  • TLS certificate chain size corresponding to classical RSA or ML-DSA certificates.
  • TCP initial congestion window (initcwnd)
  • Network delay between client and server, or round-trip time (RTT)
  • Bandwidth between client and server
  • Loss probability per packet
  • Amount of data transferred from the server to the client

Results

The results of our testing are thoroughly analyzed in the paper. They essentially show that a few extra KB in the TLS 1.3 handshake due to the post-quantum public keys, ciphertexts, and signatures will not be noticeable in connections transferring hundreds of KB or more. Connections that transfer less than 10-20 KB of data will probably be more affected by the new data-heavy handshakes.

PQTLS fig. 1.png
Figure 1: Percentage increase in TLS 1.3 handshake time between traditional and post-quantum TLS 1.3 connections. Bandwidth = 1Mbps; loss probability = 0%, 1%, 3%, and 10%; RTT = 35ms and 200ms; TCP initcwnd=20.
A bar graph whose y-axis is "handshake time % increase" and whose x-axis is a sequence of percentiles (50th, 75th, and 90th). At each percentile are two bars, one blue (for the traditional handshake protocol) and one orange (for post-quantum handshakes). In all three instances, the orange bar is around twice as high as the blue one.

Figure 1 shows the percentage increase in the duration of the TLS 1.3 handshake for the 50th, 75th, and 90th percentiles of the aggregate datasets collected for 1Mbps bandwidth; 0%, 1%, 3%, and 10% loss probability; and 35-millisecond and 200-millisecond RTT. We can see that the ML-DSA size (16KB) certificate chain takes almost twice as much time as the 8KB chain. This means that if we manage to keep the volume of ML-DSA authentication data low, it would significantly benefit the speed of post-quantum handshakes in low-bandwidth connections.

A line graph whose y-axis is the time-to-last-byte (TTLB) percentage increase and whose x-axis is the size of the data files transmitted over the secure connection, ranging from 0 KiB to 200 KiB. There are three lines, representing the 50th, 75th, and 90th percentiles. They start at almost the same value and all drop precipitously from 0 KiB to 50 KiB, continuing to decline from 50 KiB to 200 KiB, with the 90th-percentile line declining slightly more rapidly than the other two.
Figure 2: Percentage increase in TTLB between existing and post-quantum TLS 1.3 connections at 0% loss probability. Bandwidth = 1Gbps; RTT = 35ms; TCP initcwnd = 20.

Figure 2 shows the percentage increase in the duration of the post-quantum handshake relative to the existing algorithm for all percentiles and different data sizes at 0% loss and 1Gbps bandwidth. We can observe that although the slowdown is low (∼3%) at 0 kibibytes (KiB, or multiples of 1,024 bytes, the nearest power of 2 to 1,000) from the server (equivalent to the handshake), it drops even more (∼1%) as the data from the server increases. At the 90th percentile the slowdown is slightly lower.

A line graph whose y-axis is the time-to-last-byte (TTLB) percentage increase and whose x-axis is the size of the data files transmitted over the secure connection, ranging from 0 KiB to 200 KiB. There are three lines, representing the 50th, 75th, and 90th percentiles. They start at exactly the same value and all decline in lockstep, dropping precipitously from 0 KiB to 50 KiB and continuing a steady decline from 50 KiB to 200 KiB.
Figure 3: Percentage increase in TTLB between existing and post-quantum TLS 1.3 connections at 0% loss probability. Bandwidth = 1Mbps; RTT = 200ms; TCP initcwnd = 20.

Figure 3 shows the percentage increase in the TTLB between existing and post-quantum TLS 1.3 connections carrying 0-200KiB of data from the server for each percentile at 1Mbps bandwidth, 200ms RTT, and 0% loss probability. We can see that increases for the three percentiles are almost identical. They start high (∼33%) at 0KiB from the server, but as the data size from the server increases, they drop to ∼6% because the handshake data size is amortized over the connection.

A line graph whose y-axis is the time-to-last-byte (TTLB) percentage increase and whose x-axis is the size of the data files transmitted over the secure connection, ranging from 0 KiB to 200 KiB. There are three lines, representing the 50th, 75th, and 90th percentiles. The 50th-percentile line drops precipitously from 0 KiB to 50 KiB, declines more gradually from 50 to 100, then increases slightly from 100 to 200. The 90th-percentile line starts much lower but increases slightly to 50 KiB, before declining to 100 and 200. The 75th-percentile line starts lower still, declines to 100 KiB, the increases slightly from 100 to 200.
Figure 4: Percentage increase in TTLB between existing and post-quantum TLS 1.3 connections. Loss = 10%; bandwidth = 1Mbps; RTT = 200ms; TCP initcwnd = 20.
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Figure 4 shows the percentage increase in TTLB between existing and post-quantum TLS 1.3 connections carrying 0-200 KiB of data from the server for each percentile at 1Mbps bandwidth, 200ms RTT, and 10% loss probability. It shows that at 10% loss, the TTLB increase settles between 20-30% for all percentiles. The same experiments for 35ms RTT produced similar results. Although a 20-30% increase may seem high, we note that re-running the experiments could sometimes lead to smaller or higher percentage increases because of the general network instability of the scenario. Also, bear in mind that TTLBs for the existing algorithm at 200KiB from the server, 200ms RTT, and 10% loss were 4,644ms, 7,093ms, and 10,178ms, whereas their post-quantum-connection equivalents were 6,010ms, 8,883ms, and 12,378ms. At 0% loss they were 2,364ms, 2,364ms, and 2,364ms. So, although the TTLBs for the post-quantum connections increased by 20-30% relative to the conventional connections, the conventional connections are already impaired (by 97-331%) due to network loss. An extra 20-30% is not likely to make much difference in an already highly degraded connection time.

A line graph whose y-axis is the time-to-last-byte (TTLB) percentage increase and whose x-axis is the size of the data files transmitted over the secure connection, ranging from 0 KiB to 200 KiB. There are three lines, representing the 50th, 75th, and 90th percentiles. They start at different values but all decline precipitously from 0 KiB to 50 KiB. From 50KiB to 100 KiB, the 75th-percentile line and the 50th-percentile line continue to decline, but the 90th-percentile line increases slightly. All three increase slightly between 100 KiB and 200.
Figure 5: Percentage increase in TTLB between existing and post-quantum TLS 1.3 connections for 0% loss probability under “volatile network” conditions. Bandwidth = 1Gbps; RTT = 35ms; TCP initcwnd = 20.

Figure 5 shows the percentage increase in TTLB between existing and post-quantum TLS 1.3 connections for 0% loss probability and 0-200KiB data sizes transferred from the server. To model a highly volatile RTT, we used a Pareto-normal distribution with a mean of 35ms and 35/4ms jitter. We can see that the increase in post-quantum connection TTLB starts high at 0KiB server data and drops to 4-5%. As with previous experiments, the percentages were more volatile the higher the loss probabilities, but overall, the results show that even under “volatile network conditions” the TTLB drops to acceptable levels as the amount of transferred data increases.

A line graph whose y-axis is the cumulative distribution function (CDF), from 0.0 to 1.0, and whose x-axis is time to last byte (TTLB) in milliseconds. There are five differently colored lines. The first four all have the same round-trip time. Two of them have bandwidth of 1Gbps and two bandwidth of 1Mbps. Within each bandwidth tier, the two lines represent 0% and 5% loss. The fifth line is Pareto-normal round-trip time. The high-bandwidth lines and the Pareto-normal line all begin near the origin. The high-bandwidth, low-loss line is almost vertical, reaching 1.0 almost immediately. The high-bandwidth, high-loss line and Pareto-normal line look like offsets of each other, with the Pareto-normal line increasing at a slightly lower rate; both rise fairly quickly, reaching 0.8 at about 1,000 milliseconds. The low-bandwidth lines both begin at TTLB values of of about 2,000. Again, the low-loss line is almost vertical; the higher-loss line rises at a slower rate.
Figure 6: TTLB cumulative distribution function for post-quantum TLS 1.3 connections. 200KiB from the server; RTT = 35ms; TCP initcwnd = 20.

To confirm the volatility under unstable network conditions, we used the TTLB cumulative distribution function (CDF) for post-quantum TLS 1.3 connections transferring 200KiB from the server (figure 6). We observe that under all types of volatile conditions (1Gbps and 5% loss, 1Mbps and 10% loss, Pareto-normal distributed network delay), the TTLB increases very early in the experimental measurement sample, which demonstrates that the total connection times are highly volatile. We made the same observation with TLS 1.3 handshake times under unstable network conditions.

Conclusion

This work demonstrated that the practical effect of data-heavy, post-quantum algorithms on TLS 1.3 connections is lower than their effect on the handshake itself. Low-loss, low- or high-bandwidth connections will see little impact from post-quantum handshakes when transferring sizable amounts of data. We also showed that although the effects of PQ handshakes could vary under unstable conditions with higher loss rates or high-variability delays, they stay within certain limits and drop as the total amount of transferred data increases. Additionally, we saw that unstable connections inherently provide poor completion times; a small latency increase due to post-quantum handshakes would not render them less usable than before. This does not mean that trimming the amount of handshake data is undesirable, especially if little application data is sent relative to the size of the handshake messages.

For more details, please see our paper.

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Interested in modeling and understanding customer behavior through machine learning, artificial intelligence, and data mining over TB scale data with huge business impact on millions of customers? Join our team of Scientists developing models to model customer behavior and optimize the customer experience with Amazon Prime. This includes understanding who our customers are, long-term value of the Prime membership program, and creating the right personalized framework for content and subscription optimization. As an AI/ML expert, you will partner directly with product owners to intake, build, and directly apply your modeling solutions. There are numerous scientific and technical challenges you will get to tackle in this role, such as optimizing/fine-tuning GenAI/LLM solutions for Prime personalization, building GenAI foundation models, global scalability of models, combinatorial optimization, cold start problem, accelerated experimentation, short/long term goals modeling, and multi-step optimization leading to reinforcement learning of the customer journey. We employ techniques from GenAI/LLMs, supervised/semi-supervised learning, deep learning, transformer architectures, using outcomes from causal Econometric modeling, and Reinforcement learning. As the central science team within Prime, our expertise gets routinely called upon to weigh in on a variety of topics. We also emphasize the need and value of scientific research and have developed a strong publication and patent record (internally/externally) which you will be a part of. You will also utilize and be exposed to the latest in ML technologies and infrastructure: AWS technologies (EMR/Spark, Sagemaker, DynamoDB, S3, ClaudeCode), various AI/ML algorithms and techniques (Deep Learning, GenAI/LLMs, transformers, supervised/unsupervised/semi-supervised/reinforcement learning), and statistical modeling techniques. - Stay abreast of current literature in the field and advance/build novel science solutions leveraging SoTA solutions. - Build and develop AI/ML models and supporting infrastructure at TB scale, in coordination with software engineering teams. - Leverage Deep Learning and GenAI solutions for building foundation models and personalized optimization solution. - Develop offline policy estimation tools and integrate with measurement systems/econometric models. - Establish scalable, efficient, automated processes for large scale data analyses, science development, science validation and model implementation. - Analyze and extract relevant information from large amounts of Amazon’s historical business data to help automate and optimize key processes. - Work closely with the business to understand their problem space, identify the opportunities and formulate the problems. - Use AI/machine learning, data mining, statistical techniques and others to create actionable, meaningful, and scalable solutions for the business problems. - Design, develop and evaluate highly innovative models and statistical approaches to understand and predict customer behavior and to solve business problems. Key job responsibilities - Stay abreast of current literature in the field and advance/build novel science solutions leveraging SoTA solutions. - Build and develop AI/ML models and supporting infrastructure at TB scale, in coordination with software engineering teams. - Leverage Deep Learning and GenAI solutions for building foundation models and personalized optimization solution. - Develop offline policy estimation tools and integrate with measurement systems/econometric models. - Establish scalable, efficient, automated processes for large scale data analyses, science development, science validation and model implementation. - Analyze and extract relevant information from large amounts of Amazon’s historical business data to help automate and optimize key processes. - Work closely with the business to understand their problem space, identify the opportunities and formulate the problems. - Use AI/machine learning, data mining, statistical techniques and others to create actionable, meaningful, and scalable solutions for the business problems. - Design, develop and evaluate highly innovative models and statistical approaches to understand and predict customer behavior and to solve business problems.
US, WA, Bellevue
Build the scientific intelligence layer powering Amazon’s satellite manufacturing system. As an Applied Scientist, you will develop machine learning models that transform fragmented manufacturing, test, quality, and operational data into actionable intelligence that improves how satellites are built. You will tackle ambiguous, high-impact problems where data is incomplete, noisy, and distributed, and where model outputs influence real-world manufacturing decisions. Your work will power AI-enabled workflows such as non-conformance disposition, root-cause analysis, and predictive test optimization - reducing defects, accelerating production, and helping create more intelligent, data-driven manufacturing systems. Export Control Requirement: Due to applicable export control laws and regulations, candidates must be a U.S. citizen or national, U.S. permanent resident (i.e., current Green Card holder), or lawfully admitted into the U.S. as a refugee or granted asylum. Key job responsibilities - Translate ambiguous manufacturing and operational problems into well-defined scientific problems, modeling approaches, and evaluation criteria - Design, train, and deploy machine learning models, including LLM-based systems, retrieval models, and task-specific models - Develop and evaluate models using large-scale, noisy, heterogeneous datasets with incomplete, delayed, or imperfect ground truth - Apply state-of-the-art techniques in areas such as anomaly detection, root-cause inference, multimodal learning, information retrieval, and generative AI, adapting or extending them to meet project requirements - Design experiments and evaluation frameworks that capture real-world failure modes, distribution shift, and decision risk - Make principled tradeoffs among model complexity, data quality, accuracy, latency, cost, and maintainability - Build production-quality scientific components with appropriate testing, documentation, monitoring, and operational mechanisms - Work with Manufacturing, Quality, Test, and engineering partners to understand customer needs and translate them into effective scientific solutions - Analyze model and system performance, identify gaps and root causes, and iteratively improve deployed solutions - Clearly document scientific approaches, experimental results, design decisions, and lessons learned so that others can understand and reproduce the work - Contribute to technical discussions, mentor less experienced teammates, and help advance scientific and engineering best practices within the team A day in the life You may start by partnering with Quality and Manufacturing teams to define a training dataset for a root-cause prediction model, including how historical cases should be labeled and evaluated. You then design experiments and train models, comparing approaches across architectures, features, and data slices. Later, you analyze benchmark results to identify failure modes, data-quality issues, and generalization gaps, and refine the evaluation set to better represent real-world cases. You work with engineers to integrate the model into a production workflow, adding testing, monitoring, and feedback mechanisms. Throughout the day, you balance scientific rigor with practical constraints such as data availability, latency, reliability, and operational cost. About the team Leo Satellite Build Systems is the centralized AI team within Leo Production Operations. We build shared capabilities for AI across Production Operations, including governed data assets, machine learning models, retrieval systems, evaluation frameworks, and knowledge services. We work on real-world systems where scientific decisions can influence physical outcomes. We value rigorous experimentation, strong data foundations, clear documentation, and production-ready engineering. Our team is helping enable AI-native manufacturing by turning fragmented operational knowledge and data into reliable intelligence that improves production outcomes.